Guidance and resources
Creating and developing a Core Theory of Change
A Core Theory of Change provides a high-level overview of an intervention and the change it intends to achieve. It serves as a concise elevator pitch, making it easy to explain an intervention and its impact to stakeholders. The Core Theory of Change includes the following sections:
- Problem statement: the specific issue or inequality that the intervention is aiming to address.
- Inputs: the resources that are available or required to carry out the activities as intended.
- Activities: the specific actions or activities that will be delivered through the intervention, and their outputs.
- Outcomes: the changes you hope or expect to see as a result of the activities, including changes in behaviour, attitudes, skills, engagement, or attainment.
- Impacts: the long-term goal or systemic change you are hoping to bring about, or contribute to, through your intervention.
- Causal pathways: the logical steps from activities to impact that explicitly describe how you expect change to come about through the intervention.
- Moderating factors: the contextual factors that influence when, for whom, and under what conditions the activity will succeed.
The Core Theory of Change is presented as a simple diagram. We recommend that those new to theory of change start by creating a Core Theory of Change, which they can then further develop into an Enhanced Theory of Change.
Core Theory of Change template
Download our Core Theory of Change template to kick-start your evaluation.
Example Core Theories of Change
Download examples of completed templates from some of TASO’s recent evaluations.
Examples | Attainment-raising: Core Theory of Change
- Higher education provider 1 | Core Theory of Change: attainment-raising (.pptx)
- Higher education provider 2 | Core Theory of Change: attainment-raising (.pptx)
- Higher education provider 3 | Core Theory of Change: attainment-raising (.pptx)
- Higher education provider 5 | Core Theory of Change: attainment-raising (.pptx)
Examples | Ethnicity degree-awarding gap: Core Theory of Change
- Ethnicity degree-awarding gap: Core Theory of Change (.pptx)
- Diversity Mark initiative: Core Theory of Change (.pptx)
Examples | Multi-intervention outreach and mentoring (MIOM): Core Theory of Change
- K+ Programme: Core Theory of Change (.pptx)
- STEM MIOM: Core Theory of Change (.pptx)
- Southern Universities Network (SUN): Core Theory of Change (.pptx)